Discuss the trends in India’s demographic transition. What are the factors
that led to this transition? Also discuss future issues and challenges in this
area?
India’s population is young. Its birth and death rates are both near the global average. More than half the population is under age 30 and less than one-fourth is age 45 or older. Life expectancy is about 68 for men and 70 for women.
During the 1980s and 1990s, there was a faster decline in birth rate than death rate which is still continuing to the present times.
The Office of the Registrar General of India has predicted that India is set to enter the fourth stage of demographic transition by around 2026. The Registrar General have also released the expected dates when the major States are expected to achieve Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of 2.1. The goal of TFR of 2.1 has been already achieved by Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra and West Bengal. But the states like Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand are expected to achieve total fertility rate of 2.1 only around 2030.
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