The corona disease has been led to many deaths per week increases by 9.2% every week.Suppose this trend does not change and 82 deaths have been recorded this week.Determined the number of deaths that: a)were recorded 4 weeks ago b) will be recorded in 3 weeks time c) will be recorded in 6 weeks time
Solution
The deaths follow an exponential growth and can be calculated using the formula
"P=P_0(1+r)^t"
where
"P" is the number of deaths after t weeks
"P_0" is the current number of deaths
"r" is the rate of increase which "=0.092"
(a) Cases 4 weeks ago
"P_{-4}=P_0(1+r)^t"
"P_{-4}=82(1-0.092)^4"
"=56" deaths
(b) Cases in 3 weeks time
"P_3=P_0(1+r)^t"
"P_3=82(1+0.092)^3"
"=107" deaths
(c) Cases in 6 weeks time
"P_6=P_0(1+r)^t"
"P_6=82(1+0.092)^6"
"=139" deaths
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